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Is the Housing Market Cooling?

These are some of the headlines you may have come across lately regarding the housing market:

  •     The Fed Will Probably Raise Interest Rates Twice in 2015
  •     Red-hot Denver housing market cools a bit in July, says Zillow
  •     Is Denver’s residential real estate market cooling off?

Now there is talk that because of the stock market dive last week and other financial indicators that the Fed is less likely to raise the interest rates. Let’s look at July’s sales data (I always post it on the far left of the newsletter). There was an increase in inventory compared to June and both the average and median sales price dipped. And if you some simple math, months of inventory went from 1.3 to 1.6 months. A sarcastic “wow” is what I say. Yes, there was dipping in sales, but it is still an overwhelming seller’s market.  No matter what news or rumors may be out there,  there is one thing for sure: Denver is more susceptive to the seasonal market cycle. Let’s look at the Montbello area as an example (see graph).

You can see how the number of listings dropped overall in the last five years. However, if you look carefully, you can see the dips from the peak sales in summer to the lows in winter. You would expect we are in the middle or just exiting the selling peak season and relatively speaking, at least, easing into the slower months.  So the housing market will be cooling soon…as it normally does every year.

As always, I can assist you with your real estate needs. Just email at rogelio@rentandbuyhome.com or text 720-253-8513.

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As we settle into spring 2025, Denver’s real estate market is revealing some critical shifts. Whether you’re buying your first home or preparing to sell a property you’ve outgrown, understanding the market’s current temperature—especially through the lens of months-of-supply—can help you move with clarity and confidence.


📊 What Is Months-of-Supply?

Months-of-supply tells us how many months it would take to sell all current homes on the market at today’s pace, assuming no new listings come in. It’s one of the best ways to gauge whether buyers or sellers have the upper hand:

  • 0–4 months: Seller’s market
  • 4–6 months: Balanced market
  • 6+ months: Buyer’s market

📍 What’s Happening in Denver?

Denver currently has a 3.1-month supply, nudging close to a balanced market. While still favoring sellers slightly, inventory is rising fast—up 11.2% year-over-year and a striking 70.6% above 2019 levels. New listings also rose by 18.1% over the past year, though still slightly below pre-pandemic levels.

Now here’s a key point: closed sales in April 2025 were down 3.2% from last year. Fewer completed transactions suggest that buyer activity is cooling even as more homes hit the market. This shift reflects growing caution among buyers, likely tied to higher mortgage rates and affordability pressures.

In simple terms: we’re seeing more homes for sale, fewer homes being sold, and slightly longer time on market. This is a clear signal that the market is transitioning—and that timing, strategy, and pricing are more important than ever.


🏙️ Comparing Other Cities

Miami Area7.8 months of supply

Buyer’s market with inventory up 37.5%, but closed sales flat. Homes are sitting.

Austin, TX5.4 months

Moving toward balance. Listings up 19.7%, but also seeing a slowdown in closed deals.

Phoenix, AZ3.6 months

Still seller-friendly, but inventory has surged 54.6%. Like Denver, the pace is slowing.

In comparison, Denver’s sharp inventory rise paired with declining closings indicates one thing: competition is heating up—especially for sellers.

🤝 Buyers: Opportunity Is Knocking

  • More Inventory = More Choice

  • Stronger Negotiation Power: Fewer bidding wars, more room to talk terms.

  • Act Smart, Not Fast: It’s not about “the deal”—it’s about the right deal.


💼 Sellers: Stay Strategic

  • Price It Right: With fewer sales happening, homes that are overpriced are sitting.

  • Presentation Wins: You’ll stand out when your home is clean, staged, and easy to show.

  • Act Now While It’s Still a Seller’s Market: We’re on the edge—waiting could cost you.

📲 Let’s Talk—No Pressure

Whether you’re dreaming of a new home or prepping to sell, let’s have a free, no-obligation conversation to map out your next move.
📞 Text/call me directly at 720-724-8187
📅 Or grab a time that works for you: Book Here

You’ll get real insight, no pressure—just a smart path forward based on your goals.

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